Please explain how financial markets may affect economic performance. - San Francisco Fed (2024)

Great question. The simple response is that well-developed, smoothly operating financial markets play an important role in contributing to the health and efficiency of an economy. There is a strong positive relationship between financial market development and economic growth. For example, in Chapter 1 of their 2001 book, Financial Structure and Economic Growth, editors Demirgüç-Kunt and Levine concluded:

In particular, researchers have provided additional findings on the finance-growth nexus and have offered a much bolder appraisal of the causal relationship; firm-level, industry-level, and cross-country studies all suggest that the level of financial development exerts a large, positive impact on economic growth.

Financial markets help to efficiently direct the flow of savings and investment in the economy in ways that facilitate the accumulation of capital and the production of goods and services. The combination of well-developed financial markets and institutions, as well as a diverse array of financial products and instruments, suits the needs of borrowers and lenders and therefore the overall economy.

What are financial markets and institutions?

Financial markets (such as those that trade stocks or bonds), instruments (from bank CDs to futures and derivatives), and institutions (from banks to insurance companies to mutual funds and pension funds) provide opportunities for investors to specialize in particular markets or services, diversify risks, or both. As noted by Demirgüç-Kunt and Levine, together financial markets and financial institutions contribute to economic growth; the relative mix of the two does not appear to be an important factor in growth.

Large financial markets with lots of trading activity provide more liquidity for market participants than thinner markets with few available securities and participants and thus limited trading opportunities. The U.S. financial system is generally considered to be the most well developed in the world. Daily transactions in the financial markets—both the money (short term, a year or less) and capital (over a year) markets—are huge. Many financial assets are liquid; some may have secondary markets to facilitate the transfer of existing financial assets at a low cost. Table I provides a list of several well-known U.S. financial markets, ranked by outstanding assets or liabilities as of 2004.

The U.S. also has a well-developed financial services industry. It includes such familiar types of financial institutions as banks, pension funds, mutual funds, and insurance companies. Table II provides a list of several categories of U.S. financial institutions, ranked by outstanding assets as of 2004.

TABLE I

Selected U.S. Financial Markets, Outstanding Assets or Liabilities as of 1999 and 2004.
(Federal Reserve System, Flow of Funds, June 9, 2005)

(Billions of U.S. Dollars)

2004:Q4

1999

%Change

Corporate Equities Outstanding

17,254.5

19,522.8

-11.6%

Home Mortgage Assets & Loans Outstanding

8,096.4

4,715.6

71.7%

All Sectors Corporate and Foreign Bond Liabilities

7,006.1

4,435.6

58.0%

U.S. Gov’t Agency Securities Liabilities

6,246.5

3,916.0

59.5%

Federal Gov’t Total Treasury Securities Liability
(ex. Savingsbonds)

4,166.3

3,466.2

20.2%

Federal Funds and Security Repurchase Agreements, TotalLiabilities

1,650.3

1,082.8

52.4%

Open Market Paper, All Sectors Commercial PaperLiability

1,406.7

1,402.4

0.3%

TABLE II

Selected U.S. Financial Institutions and Funds, Assets Outstanding as of 1999 and 2004.
(Federal Reserve System, Flow of Funds, June 9, 2005)

(Billions of U.S. Dollars)

2004:Q4

1999

%Change

U.S.-Chartered Commercial Banks

6,398.1

4,434.3

44.3%

Mutual Funds

5,436.0

4,538.5

19.8%

Private Pension Funds

4,472.9

4,571.2

-2.2%

Life Insurance Companies

4,132.6

3,067.9

34.7%

State and Local Government Employee Retirement Funds

2,072.4

2,247.0

-7.8%

Money Market Mutual Funds

1,879.9

1,578.8

19.1%

Security Brokers and Dealers

1,844.9

1,001.0

84.3%

Savings Institutions

1,691.2

1,150.5

47.0%

Finance Companies

1,455.7

1,003.5

45.1%

Other Insurance Companies (including property and casualty)

1,196.9

872.7

37.1%

Federal Government Retirement Funds

1,024.0

774.0

32.3%

Credit Unions

654.7

414.5

57.9%

Foreign Banking Offices in the U.S.

569.7

750.9

-24.1%

For comparison purposes: U.S. GDP in current dollars in 2004 was $11,735 billion.

Why are financial markets and institutions important?

Financial markets play a critical role in the accumulation of capital and the production of goods and services. The price of credit and returns on investment provide signals to producers and consumers—financial market participants. Those signals help direct funds (from savers, mainly households and businesses) to the consumers, businesses, governments, and investors that would like to borrow money by connecting those who value the funds most highly (i.e., are willing to pay a higher price, or interest rate), to willing lenders. In a similar way, the existence of robust financial markets and institutions also facilitates the international flow of funds between countries.

In addition, efficient financial markets and institutions tend to lower search and transactions costs in the economy. By providing a large array of financial products, with varying risk and pricing structures as well as maturity, a well-developed financial system offers products to participants that provide borrowers and lenders with a close match for their needs. Individuals, businesses, and governments in need of funds can easily discover which financial institutions or which financial markets may provide funding and what the cost will be for the borrower. This allows investors to compare the cost of financing to their expected return on investment, thus making the investment choice that best suits their needs. In this way, financial markets direct the allocation of credit throughout the economy—and facilitate the production of goods and services.

A recent example: Integrating existing EU financial markets

The European Union, with its single banking market and single currency, the Euro, has created Europe-wide financial markets and institutions. These markets use the Euro to facilitate saving, investment, borrowing, and lending. Euro-denominated stock, bond, and derivative markets serve all of the EU countries that use the Euro—replacing smaller, less-liquid, offerings and products that previously were available mostly on a country-by-country basis.

In addition, the Euro likely increases the attractiveness of Euro-based financial markets and instruments to the rest of the world. Within the EU, the Euro eliminates the cross-border exchange rate risks that are part of transactions between countries with different currencies. The Euro and integrated “Euro-based” financial markets and institutions should make the credit allocation process in Europe more competitive and more efficient in the long run.

What happens without well-developed financial markets?

In many developing nations, limited financial markets, instruments, and financial institutions, as well as poorly defined legal systems, may make it more costly to raise capital and may lower the return on savings or investments. Limited information or lack of financial transparency mean that information is not as readily available to market participants and risks may be higher than in economies with more fully-developed financial systems. In addition, it is more difficult to hold a diversified portfolio in small markets with only a limited selection of financial assets or savings and investment products. In such thin financial markets with little trading activity and few alternatives, it may be more difficult and costly to find the right product, maturity, or risk profile to satisfy the needs of borrowers and lenders.

More evidence that financial development matters

For further research on the topic, you may wish to review a 2002 study of financial structure and macroeconomic performance by Lopez and Spiegel, economists at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco. With respect to the long-run relationship between financial systems and the economy, they reached the following conclusion:

We examine the relationship between indicators of financial development and economic performance for a cross-country panel over long and short periods. Our long-term results are consistent with much of the literature in that we find a positive relationship between financial development and economic growth.

Their findings also shed light on why financial development affects growth:

These results therefore indicate that the primary channel for financial development to facilitate growth over the long run is through physical and human capital accumulation.

References

Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, and Ross Levine. 2004. “Finance, Inequality, and Poverty: Cross-Country Evidence.” NBER Working Paper No. 10979, December 2004.

Beck, Thorsten, Asli Demirgüç-Kunt, Luc Laeven, and Ross Levine. 2004. “Finance, Firm Size, and Growth.” NBER Working Paper No. 10983, December 2004.

Demirgüç-Kunt, Asli and Ross Levine, editors. 2001, “Financial Structure and Economic Growth,” Cambridge, Massachusetts, The MIT Press. See Introduction, Chapter 1.

Fabozzi, Frank J., Franco Modigliani, and Michael G. Ferri. 1994. “Foundations of Financial Markets and Institutions.” Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey: Prentice Hall Inc., Chapters 1-3.

Levine, Ross. 2004. “Finance and Growth: Theory and Evidence.” NBER Working Paper No. 10766, September 2004.

Lopez, Jose A. and Mark M. Spiegel. 2002. “Financial structure and macroeconomic performance over the short and long run.” Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, Pacific Basin Working Paper Series. 02-05. September 2002. See Abstract.

Rose, Peter S. 1994. “Money and Capital Markets.” Burr Ridge, Illinois: Irwin, 5th Edition. See Chapter 1.

Please explain how financial markets may affect economic performance. - San Francisco Fed (2024)

FAQs

How does the financial market impact the economy? ›

Financial markets facilitate the interaction between those who need capital with those who have capital to invest. In addition to making it possible to raise capital, financial markets allow participants to transfer risk (generally through derivatives) and promote commerce.

How does the financial market impact the economy in Everfi? ›

The financial market helps the economy grow. The financial market determines how the economy is doing. The financial market gives individuals, companies, and the government access to money they need.

What is the impact of financial services on the economy? ›

A large portion of this sector generates revenue from mortgages and loans, which gain value as interest rates drop. The health of the economy depends, in large part, on the strength of its financial sector. The stronger it is, the healthier the economy. A weak financial sector typically means the economy is weakening.

How does the stock market performance affect economic growth? ›

The size of the stock market affects the liquidity, and it is positive at a 1% significance level. This implies that the stock market's rise has an impact on the market's liquidity. Furthermore, the economic growth variable had a favourable impact on significant economic activity at the 1% level.

How does market economy affect the economy? ›

A market economy is one in which the allocation of resources and the prices of goods and services are determined by market forces, primarily supply and demand. Market economies have little government intervention, allowing private ownership to determine all business decisions concerning how a business is run.

What are financial market advantages and disadvantages? ›

While financial markets provide numerous benefits, such as liquidity and investment opportunities, they also come with certain disadvantages, including: Volatility and market fluctuations: Financial markets are subject to volatility and fluctuations in asset prices, which can lead to potential losses for investors.

How does the Fed impact financial markets? ›

As a general rule of thumb, when the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates, it causes the stock market to go up; when the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, it causes the stock market to go down.

What affects financial markets? ›

Factors that affect markets

Both the condition of an individual business and the strength of its larger industry affects the price of its stock. Profits earned, volume of sales, and even the time of year will all affect how much an investor will pay for a stock.

How do you financial choices impact the economy? ›

Your financial choices impact the economy because when you spend money, you are helping the economy. Having a job helps you to pay your bills and needs as well as preventing you from going bankrupt. What are some of the advantages and disavantages of a market economy?

Why is the financial market important? ›

They facilitate the flow of funds, enabling businesses to grow, governments to fund public projects, and individuals to achieve their financial goals. This injection of capital is essential for innovation, development, and economic expansion. Lastly, the financial markets are a powerhouse of employment opportunities.

How does financial crisis affect the economy? ›

A financial crisis can also increase the uncertainty and volatility in the economy, as agents face higher risks and lower confidence. This can affect the expectations and behavior of households, firms, and governments, making them more cautious, pessimistic, and defensive.

What is the financial role in the economy? ›

The essential role of finance is to channel savings to investment. Financial prices such as interest rates, exchange rates or stock prices serve to adjust the individual plans of economic agents to be consistent with equilibrium for the aggregate.

How do markets contribute to the performance of an economy? ›

Financial markets play a vital role in facilitating the smooth operation of capitalist economies by allocating resources and creating liquidity for businesses and entrepreneurs. The markets make it easy for buyers and sellers to trade their financial holdings.

How can stock market affect the economy? ›

The stock market impacts the economy because it influences consumer confidence, which in turn influences the overall economy. The relationship also works the other way, in that economic conditions often impact stock markets.

How does economic growth affect economic performance? ›

In broad terms, an increase in real GDP is interpreted as a sign that the economy is doing well. When real GDP is growing strongly, employment is likely to be increasing as companies hire more workers for their factories and people have more money in their pockets.

What is the role of the financial system in the economy? ›

Conclusion. In conclusion, financial institutions play a crucial role in shaping the economy. They provide access to capital, facilitate economic growth, manage risk, promote financial inclusion, and support government policies.

How does the financial crisis affect the world economy? ›

Some of the most significant impacts of the global financial crisis on the world's economy include: The economic global recession brought forth by the crisis was defined by a sharp decline in economic activity, dropping output and rising unemployment.

What is the role of the market in economic development? ›

Markets are an important part of the economy. They allow a space where governments, businesses, and individuals can buy and sell their goods and services. But that's not all. They help determine the pricing of goods and services and inject much-needed liquidity into the economy.

What is the relationship between the financial system and the economy? ›

A financial system facilitates transactions in the economy, both providing and improving the payment systems and by reducing transaction and information costs associated with financial transactions.

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