How do you measure and report on cash flow risk performance in your supply chain? (2024)

Last updated on May 28, 2024

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Cash flow risk definition

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Cash flow risk metrics

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Cash flow risk analysis

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Cash flow risk mitigation

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Cash flow risk reporting

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Here’s what else to consider

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Cash flow is the lifeblood of any business, especially in the supply chain sector. But how do you know if your cash flow is healthy, stable, and resilient to risks? In this article, we will explore some of the ways you can measure and report on cash flow risk performance in your supply chain, and how you can use this information to improve your financial management and decision-making.

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1 Cash flow risk definition

Cash flow risk is the possibility that your cash inflows and outflows will not match your expectations or needs, resulting in a cash shortage or surplus. Cash flow risk can arise from various factors, such as demand fluctuations, supplier delays, inventory issues, payment terms, currency fluctuations, and external shocks. Cash flow risk can affect your profitability, liquidity, solvency, and reputation, as well as your ability to invest, grow, and innovate.

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    Measuring and reporting on cash flow risk performance in the supply chain requires an approach that has many aspects and incorporates quantitative metrics, scenario analysis, supplier risk assessment, cash flow reporting, and continuous improvement initiatives. By using a structured and proactive approach to cash flow risk management, organizations can enhance supply chain resilience, mitigate financial vulnerabilities, and sustain operational excellence in today's challenging business environment.

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    Assessing and communicating cash flow risk performance within the supply chain is paramount for sustaining operational stability and mitigating financial uncertainties. One effective approach involves analyzing cash flow patterns across the entire supply chain ecosystem, identifying key risk factors such as payment delays, inventory management inefficiencies, or market fluctuations. By leveraging comprehensive reporting tools and financial metrics, organizations can gain valuable insights into cash flow dynamics, enabling proactive risk management strategies and informed decision-making.

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2 Cash flow risk metrics

In order to measure and report on cash flow risk performance, you should use key metrics that capture the different aspects of your cash flow situation. The most common and useful metrics include the cash flow statement, which shows how much cash is generated and used during a specific period, and how it affects the cash balance. It consists of operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities. The cash conversion cycle reflects how efficiently you manage your working capital by measuring how long it takes to convert inventory and receivables into cash. Additionally, a cash flow forecast is a projection of future cash receipts and payments, based on historical data and assumptions. This helps plan ahead and anticipate any potential gaps or surpluses. The forecast should be updated regularly and compared with the actual cash flow statement to monitor performance.

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3 Cash flow risk analysis

To analyze cash flow risk performance and evaluate sources and impacts of cash flow risks, you can use various methods and tools. Cash flow ratios, for example, are financial ratios that compare different elements of your cash flow statement. They help you assess your cash flow quality, efficiency, profitability, and solvency in comparison to industry benchmarks or competitors. Another technique is cash flow variance analysis which compares actual cash flow results with budgeted or forecasted targets and explains the differences. Finally, there is cash flow scenario analysis which simulates possible outcomes of your cash flow situation based on varying assumptions or factors. This helps test the sensitivity and robustness of your cash flow forecast, as well as prepare for different contingencies or opportunities.

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4 Cash flow risk mitigation

To improve your cash flow risk performance, you need to implement strategies and actions that reduce your exposure to cash flow risks or enhance your ability to cope with them. Optimizing your working capital management, diversifying revenue streams and customer base, hedging currency and interest rate risks, and building a cash reserve or buffer are some of the best practices for cash flow risk mitigation. Optimizing working capital management involves improving inventory turnover, speeding up receivables collection, extending payables payment, and negotiating better terms with suppliers and customers. Diversifying revenue streams and customer base entails expanding product or service offerings, entering new markets or segments, and finding new or alternative sources of income. Hedging currency and interest rate risks involves using financial instruments or contracts to lock in a fixed or favorable exchange rate or interest rate for cash flows. Finally, building a cash reserve or buffer entails setting aside some cash or liquid assets that can be accessed easily and quickly in case of an emergency or opportunity.

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5 Cash flow risk reporting

To communicate your cash flow risk performance to stakeholders such as management, board, investors, lenders, or regulators, you should prepare and present reports that summarize and highlight your cash flow metrics, analysis, and mitigation. Dashboards are a visual display of key cash flow indicators such as cash balance, cash flow statement, cash conversion cycle, and more. Charts and graphs graphically represent your cash flow data while narratives and recommendations provide more details and context for your cash flow metrics. All of these features help you monitor performance, spot any issues or trends that require attention or action, convey information in a clear and engaging way, identify risks and opportunities, and suggest actions or solutions.

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6 Here’s what else to consider

This is a space to share examples, stories, or insights that don’t fit into any of the previous sections. What else would you like to add?

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How do you measure and report on cash flow risk performance in your supply chain? (2024)

FAQs

How do you measure and report on cash flow risk performance in your supply chain? ›

Measuring and reporting on cash flow risk performance in the supply chain requires an approach that has many aspects and incorporates quantitative metrics, scenario analysis, supplier risk assessment, cash flow reporting, and continuous improvement initiatives.

How to measure cash flow performance? ›

A basic way to calculate cash flow is to sum up figures for current assets and subtract from that total current liabilities. Once you have a cash flow figure, you can use it to calculate various ratios (e.g., operating cash flow/net sales) for a more in-depth cash flow analysis.

What is the measure of cash flow at risk? ›

Cash Flow at Risk (CFaR) is a measure of how changes in market variables can cause future cash flows to fall short of expectations, as well as the extent of those changes by risk factor. Value At Risk (VaR): Similar to CFAR.

How to measure risk in supply chain? ›

Businesses should assess supplier risks by using techniques such as supply chain mapping, weighted ranking, Value at Risk (VaR) analysis, and supplier segmentation to understand and quantify potential vulnerabilities.

How to evaluate cash flow statement? ›

A statement of cash flow is divided in operating, investing, and financing sections. You can evaluate each section individually to better understand recurring and non-recurring activity. You can also evaluate the statement using cash flow per share, free cash flow, or cash flow to debt.

How do you measure and report cash flow? ›

The most common and useful metrics include the cash flow statement, which shows how much cash is generated and used during a specific period, and how it affects the cash balance. It consists of operating activities, investing activities, and financing activities.

What is an appropriate way to measure cash flows? ›

Free cash flow (FCF) is one of the most common ways of measuring cash flow. This metric tracks the amount of cash you have left over after capital expenditure items like equipment and mortgage payments.

What is an example of a cash flow risk? ›

High Expenditure Compared to Sales. Expenses, especially unplanned ones, are variables that cause cash flow risk. An example is when machines or equipment break down and require immediate fixing lest operations are halted. The cost of such repair is usually very high.

What cash flow statement measures? ›

The CFS measures how well a company manages its cash position, meaning how well the company generates cash to pay its debt obligations and fund its operating expenses. As one of the three main financial statements, the CFS complements the balance sheet and the income statement.

What are the risks of cash flow forecasting? ›

Drawbacks. The limitations of cash flow forecasts include being unable to account for changing costs, and the accuracy of when money comes into the business. Miscalculations will affect the business which could result in debt.

What are the five 5 measures of risk? ›

Types of Risk Measures. There are five principal risk measures, and each measure provides a unique way to assess the risk present in investments that are under consideration. The five measures include alpha, beta, R-squared, standard deviation, and the Sharpe ratio.

What is a supply chain risk assessment? ›

Risk assessment is a critical component of effective supply chain management. By assessing risks, companies can identify potential threats to their supply chains and take steps to mitigate or manage them to prevent disruptions that could lead to delays, increased costs, or lost revenue.

What is the simplest way to measure risk? ›

Risk—or the probability of a loss—can be measured using statistical methods that are historical predictors of investment risk and volatility. Commonly used risk management techniques include standard deviation, Sharpe ratio, and beta.

How does cash flow measure performance? ›

A cash flow performance measure calculated as cash provided by operating activities divided by capital expenditures. A cash flow performance measure calculated as cash provided by operating activities minus capital expenditures.

What is an example of cash flow analysis? ›

Let's say a company called Red Bikes has just opened and earned a net income of $75,000 to start and generated additional cash inflows of $95,000. Cash outflows (expenses like rent and payroll) totaled $25,925. This leaves an ending cash balance of $144,075.

What is KPI for cashflow? ›

For example, seeing a metric of net income is helpful, but it becomes meaningful when other information, such as performance over time or how assets relate to liabilities, etc., are factored in. KPIs for cash flow are financial metrics that guide management and stakeholder decision-making.

What is the best way to monitor cash flow? ›

Cash flow statement

Given the importance of good cash flow management, it might well help to produce a statement that demonstrates this. A cash flow statement looks a lot like a profit and loss statement and the balance sheet. It should aim to look at how cash moves in and out of the business.

How do you measure cash to cash performance? ›

for calculating cash-to-cash requires adding days of inventory plus days of accounts receivable and subtracting days of accounts payable. Therefore, C2C bridges material activities with suppliers, production operations, distribution functions, and outbound sales activities.

What is the performance ratio of cash flow? ›

The cash flow coverage ratio measures how much cash you generate annually to pay off your total outstanding debt. A ratio of greater than one indicates that you're not at risk of default. Because this ratio shows sufficient cash flow to pay off debt plus interest, it should be as high as possible.

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